South Carolina Presidential Conspiracy Theory?

Tonight's conspiracy theory ...

The real motives behind the massive influx of out-of-state campaign cash and outside organizations that showered cash on a whole slew of legislative candidates, as well as the Education race, have been a subject of great speculation in the media and the blogosphere.

A thought I'd like to throw out there for discussion ...

"What if these groups are looking to build up experience at how to win South Carolina voters, with an eye on winning the crucial 2008 South Carolina GOP Presidential Primary for the candidate(s) of their choice?"



From the looks of it, the 2008 Presidential GOP fielding looks wide and active. We could well see a half-dozen or more candidates actively campaigning for South Carolina votes and the delegates they would assign.

In SC, the first place finisher gets the delegates. In a field of four or five contenders, getting 30 percent of the vote could be all it takes to win. By fueling races that toppled two GOP state rep's and gotten their pick for Education Superintendent nominated, one could say they were off to a good start.

While it may be hard for a group of conservative activist groups and contributors to get a candidate over the fifty-percent mark, winning in a best-out-of-five (or six or seven ...) scenario is a lot easier. Of course, this presumes all these people would support the same candidate, which is by no means a given. If these people couldn't agree on a single candidate, it could become a massive escalation like the slug-fest we saw here in 2000, and we end up at the same point, with just a lot more money being spent to get there.


Having put that question out there, I'll wait and see what everyone has to say. Am I crazy or what?!?

11 Response to "South Carolina Presidential Conspiracy Theory?"

  1. west_rhino 11/7/06 23:23
    Before fitting you with a tin foil chapeau, I have to say your theory is plausible. Several precincts thoughout the state have demographics that serve to forecast how several other states will swing. While picking up the SC delegates is nice, the perspective for how effective the pitches are and building the list of effective ground troops in advance has some of the stealth charachteristics of the Clinton campaign leading into '92.
  2. Anonymous 12/7/06 10:53
    dude, you're a loon. just because kwadjo campbell says he's a republican doesn't mean you have to smoke what he's smoking.

    put the crack pipe down, buddy, before the aliens come and get you.
  3. Anonymous 12/7/06 11:23
    Earl, Flounder needs his prozac...
  4. Anonymous 12/7/06 14:53
    who you calling flounder?
  5. Anonymous 13/7/06 08:32
    rest assured, the aliens are coming to get you.
  6. Anonymous 13/7/06 11:30
    You'll have to check the SCGOP rules and state law, but I don't think the '08 GOP Prez primary is a winner-take-all situation. It's actually a glorified statewide straw poll open to any registered voter. If I recall correctly, the delegates to the national convention are divided up among the top finishers. In 2000, Bush didn't win all of the delegates. McCain went to the Philly convention with delegates from the 1st CD where he beat Bush. In the end, those delegates were released of their pledge by McCain so they could vote for Bush.
  7. Earl Capps 13/7/06 11:40
    I could be mistaken - hopefully someone will read this and offer some clarification.

    Even if it's not a winner-take-all state, because of the order of states, South Carolina, like Iowa and New Hampshire, holds a tremendous amount of influence upon the race.

    A strong showing in SC would help a lot. Because of the state's relatively small voter base, such a win could be a lot more affordable "splash" than the primaries that follow shortly thereafter in much larger states.
  8. Anonymous 13/7/06 12:36
    Flounder was Kwadjo's date at a stump meeting back about 98 or so.
  9. west_rhino 13/7/06 12:39
    Maybe its time to dust off the old Buchanan signs...
  10. Anonymous 13/7/06 14:43
    write "South Carolina" when used as a noun and S.C. when used otherwise. As in: Earl is from South Carolina but is an S.C. Republican clown shoe.
  11. Brian McCarty 13/7/06 23:51
    Don't forget that there are groups out there who do private education for profit. They have a strong interest in the tax credit issue.

    But, I think your theory is sound. I can see outsiders strectching their political legs so to speak to get ready for the big game.

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