Stupor Tuesday 2: Homey don't play that

The first Stupor Tuesday came and went. What did we get? A prolonged Democratic Presidential race.

A month later comes Stupor Tuesday 2 ... and we don't have a Democratic nominee. Once again, Clinton pulled a last-minute reversal and stalled Obama's momentum, giving us yet another continuance on the Democratic race.

That's what happened last night, when Clinton finally found her footing, turned to fight and locked her claws into Obama's mushy, substance-free candidacy, winning Ohio, Rhode Island and Texas, leaving the first-term Senator with just one insignificant win in just the bluest-of-the-blue state of Vermont.


Obama's latest setbacks have much to do with the fact that Hillary and the news media finally realized that Obama's candidacy, chock full of hype and bumper-sticker feel-good quotes that had hidden his lack of a political record, was long overdue for some critical examination. So they decided to ask some tough questions, and in doing so, caught Obama's campaign off-guard in the last few days before the primaries, just as it was making critical headway in both Ohio and Texas.

In addition to polling which had shown that Obama's momentum had stalled in the final week, exit polling of Ohio voters has indicated that late-deciders, those who make up their minds in the closing days of a race, broke for Clinton with a 20 point lead, while those who had been decided for a week or more only gave her a 10 point lead.

While Clinton's eleventh-hour stand allowed her to live to fight another day, we've seen these last minute reversals before, both in New Hampshire and in the mixed showings of Stupor Tuesday 1. In neither situation did her campaign take advantage of those moments to reverse the momentum of the overall race. So far, we've seen nothing to suggest that what happened last night was any different.

The results from her wins on Stupor Tuesday 2, not counting the outcome of the Texas caucuses, gave Clinton a net gain of about 36 delegates, making Obama's razor-thin lead of several dozen delegates even smaller.

With Indiana, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania left as the only sizable Democratic primaries, it is hard to see how either Clinton or Obama can win the overwhelming share of the remaining delegates needed to win a majority of delegates. Therefore, the race may well continue to devolve into an expensive, bloody, and divisive slugfest that may not be settled until the Democratic convention ... or until the last lawsuit over Florida and Michigan delegates is settled. Whichever comes last.

The lesson to be learned from Stupor Tuesday 2 is this: There are still some voters who won't be fooled with some slick song-and-dance routines ... just like our friend Homey the Clown. Homey don't play that, and on Stupor Tuesday 2, neither did a lot of Democratic voters in Ohio, Rhode Island, and Texas.



Which brings us to today's question: "Is Michelle Obama still proud of her country?" ... or will she not love us any more after her husband got his tail kicked?

2 Response to "Stupor Tuesday 2: Homey don't play that"

  1. Anonymous 5/3/08 17:52
    earl, your commentary rocks and not even the national news speaks with such alacrity and perspicacity. yours and the general's r 2 blogs round here that offer a sound and thoughtful perspective
  2. houston hobby airport moye 5/3/08 18:40
    nice real nice

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