Higher ed construction may not be such a bad idea right now
Over the last four years, construction costs at our state's colleges have totalled about $1 billion, according to a recent report in The Greenville News. Since the recession began, building projects valued at $60 million have been approved.
College officials cite the necessity of keeping up with the demands for program improvements and growth. And they make the point that building expenses don't come from the same pot of money that colleges depend on for operating expenses.
Nevertheless, it is still reasonable to question whether a building boom is warranted during these tough economic times.
While the op-ed raises legitimate concerns, such as the cost of maintaining an overlapping set of two-year USC campuses, citing how USC-Sumter shares a parking lot with the regional technical college, as well as continual increases in tuition rates, the issue isn't as simple as their op-ed would make it seem. In fact, at least some of this construction activity may turn out to have been shrewd investment.
The recession has staggered the construction industry. As an HR person in the industry, as well as serving on the regional Workforce Investment Board, I know this all too well. Over half the construction jobs in South Carolina have gone away in this recession, many companies have gone out of business and many others are hanging on with reduced workforces, older equipment and lower pricing.
Such an environment has created a buyer's market across the nation, with projects being bid for far less than in better economic times, as evidenced by a sample of news reports from across the country:
Vermeulens Cost Consultants in Toronto and Boston has conducted extensive analyses of pricing trends going back to 2005. The company’s data shows that between 2005 and 2008 construction costs increased 6 to 8 percent per year, which is double the average inflation trend of 3.5 percent per year.
However, their analysis also reveals that costs began to decrease in December 2008 and have continued a downward slide. The outlook for the future, according to Vermeulens, shows overall construction costs continuing to decline for the remainder of this year by 6 to 8 percent from 2008 levels.
Just as quickly as the window of opportunity opened, though, it could slam shut. In fact, Vermeulens’ cost-tracking studies conclude that costs should improve by 3 to 5 percent in 2010 and by 6 to 8 percent in 2011. The unpredictability of economic conditions and other variables makes it important for owners to take advantage of current conditions during what could be a narrow window of opportunity.
One of our clients stated they were averaging around $800,000 for a new ground up facility, they now are paying around $600,000. Financing is tougher to find but with diligence you can develop new facilities at prices not seen in 20 years. General Contractors are bidding projects at or possibly below cost to cover staff without work. Keep in mind that those who are bold in times like these will turn adversity to advantage.
"At Baltimore-Washington International Marshall Airport, a recent project to reconstruct the area around Piers C and D received six bids instead of the usual two or three. The result: The estimated $50 million project will be built for $8 million less than was budgeted, and the savings will be allocated to other projects. There were 21 bidders for a $200,000 drainage project in Carroll County, more than anyone could remember."
Bullitt County Public Schools paid $12.5 million to build Roby more than a year ago, but spent nearly a million dollars less for Crossroads, which opened Wednesday — and the district has the depressed economy to thank.
“It’s a perfect example of what a difference a year and a lot more competition can make,” said Tom Rogers, the district’s project manager for new school construction. Ten companies bid on the Roby project, compared to a record 23 bidders for Crossroads, which helped lower the price, Rogers said.
And Bullitt isn’t the only district reaping the benefits. Across Kentucky, Indiana and the nation, the bad economy has been good for school construction projects, with lower costs resulting from more competition, lower prices for materials like steel and drywall and better bond rates.
While these stories suggest opportunity may be knocking in the current slump, the drop in construction prices during economic downturns is not a new effect. A similar effect has occurred in past downturns:
The weak U.S. economy had a pervasive effect on price movements in 1991; energy indexes plummeted at all stages of processing, after increasing sharply in the previous 2 years
Prices received by domestic producers turned down broadly in 1991, after registering substantial advances a year earlier.
There are still areas where attention is need. Cutting out duplication, starting with merging the two-year USC campus system into the technical college system (which has been talked about here before), is long overdue. Doing more to protect students from unnecessary tuition increases is a good idea. Effective oversight over higher ed spending to ensure that money saved on lower construction costs is not squandered on palatial facilities also make sense.
For those who can afford to build, right now is a buyer's market. As long as the money is spent appropriately, keeping higher ed construction projects on track may prove to be a wise investment. While it is reasonable to expect legislators and the news media watchdogs to scrutinze any kind of public spending in the current economy, as well as question sizable tuition hikes, a blind rush to judgment could result in much higher costs later on, which would likely be rolled over into even higher tuition increases.
* For the purposes of full disclosure, the author of this article is also a part-time adjunct professor at the College of Charleston. He was not asked to write this article. This editorial is not intended to represent any official position of the College of Charleston on this matter.
* For the purposes of full disclosure, the author of this article is also a part-time adjunct professor at the College of Charleston. He was not asked to write this article. This editorial is not intended to represent any official position of the College of Charleston on this matter.







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