Showing posts with label election2010. Show all posts
Showing posts with label election2010. Show all posts

Goodbye Nancy

This pretty much speaks for itself ...

More party switching

The fallout from November's elections continues with more elected Democrats jumping into GOP ranks:

GEORGIA: Republicans edge closer to their third legislative super-majority gain this year with State Rep. Bubber Epps joining the GOP, followed by State Rep. Rep. Mike Cheokas.

LOUISIANA: State Rep. Fred Mills crosses over, further building the GOP edge in that chamber.

Meet the 2010 Joker of the Year

When it comes to naming the Joker of the Year, there was no shortage of candidates for the title. However, we’re relieved that we won’t be awarding it to outgoing Governor Mark Sanford for a third year.

Instead of dropping yet another bomb on the Governor, we’ve found someone who truly blew it this year in a way that will be long remembered:

Outgoing Fifth District Congressman John Spratt - South Carolina's very own endangered species.

The 2010 Righteous Dude of the Year


As the Blogland is unrepentantly stuck in the 80s, only we would come up with a "Righteous Dude of the Year" award, inspired by that famous line in the movie Ferris Bueller's Day Off:

The sportos, the motorheads, geeks, sluts, bloods, wasteoids, dweebies, dickheads — they all adore him. They think he's a righteous dude.

Naming this year’s Righteous Dude wasn’t easy, as there were so many who made a big splash on the state’s political scene this year. But decisions had to be made, and we made our choice:

First District Congressman Tim Scott.

Post-election party switching boosting GOP's 2010 gains

Just like 1994, the 2010 GOP wave that swept the South didn't stop with election night. A wave of party switches which helped pad the GOP's electoral gains in the months following the 1994 elections seems to be repeating itself.
Here's this fall's party-switching action:
  • Following the GOP's upset takeover of the Alabama House and Senate, four House Democrats crossed over, giving the GOP a two-thirds super-majority in a chamber where it was the minority a month ago. Alabama state Reps. Alan Boothe of Troy, Steve Hurst of Munford, Mike Millican of Hamilton and Lesley Vance of Phenix City announced their plans to defect, citing a wake-up call from their constituents who went heavily for Republicans in most other races.

With Republicans now holding either two or three of the "cards" (House, Senate and Governor) for reapportionment control in most of the southern tier states from Arizona to North Carolina (Arkansas, Kentucky, Mississippi, New Mexico are the exceptions), these switches may not be the last.

Picking the hot State House races - how we did


In the run-up to last week's State House races, we picked out several races that we felt would be close races that deserved watching: House Districts 29, 44, 47, 79, 115, 116, and 119. Two of these three races we picked as ones to watch were GOP gains.

We'll discuss how the seven we picked fared, as well as look at two other races that we completely missed:

GOP lining up behind Mobley to replace Mulvaney

State Senator Mick Mulvaney hasn't even turned in his resignation and the race to fill his Senate seat may already be ending.

According to the Lancaster News, GOP leaders in the Senate district are already lining up to support Lancaster pharmacist Hugh Mobley, while the 2008 Democratic candidate, who ran a close race for the seat, opted not to seek the seat:

Mobley has already picked up the support of three Republican leaders – state House representatives Deborah Long of Indian Land and Ralph Norman of Rock Hill and Greg Gregory, the former District 16 state senator from Lancaster.

This leaves confused Democrats like Bayles Mack little opportunity to enter the race.

Karen Floyd: Mission Accomplished

Whatever one may call Karen Floyd, nobody can call her "quitter".

Four years ago, when she lost her bid for State Education Superintendent by a mere 500 votes, few - including yours truly - would've imagined she'd be back anytime soon, much less winning the Chairmanship of the SCGOP unopposed a year later.

What's happened for South Carolina Republicans during her tenure as Chair would probably have been considered just as unlikely:

  • A three seat gain in the State House (5 if you count 2 seats gained by a special election and a party switch a month prior to her taking office, both efforts in which she was heavily involved),
  • The ouster of long-time GOP target John Spratt in the Fifth Congressional District,
  • A clean sweep where every statewide GOP candidate won by no less than four percentage points (four years ago, Floyd lost by 500 votes and two other winners by margins of less than 4%).
How big a deal were these gains?

More candidates looking at Mulvaney's Senate seat

The Lancaster News confirms that while GOP State Rep. Deborah Long isn't looking at running to replace State Senator Mick Mulvaney when he goes to Washington in January, others from Lancaster County are eyeing the race:

  • Democrat Mandy Powers Norrell, who lost to Mulvaney in a race to fill the then-open Senate seat two years ago.
  • Lancaster businessman Hugh Mobley, who we've been told would seek the GOP nod. Given the district's strong GOP lean, we're sure he won't be the only Republican in the race.

Democrat seeking GOP nod for Mulvaney's Senate seat?


Not surprisingly, the jockeying is underway to fill Mick Mulvaney's soon-to-be-vacated State Senate seat. While some had floated name of State Rep. Deborah Long, fresh from a landslide win as the first Republican re-elected to House District 45, our sources indicate she wasn't interested.

Reportedly, long-time Fort Mill Democrat Bayles Mack is looking at making a bid for the seat. Mack  is a long-time Democratic Party figure in York County in addition to holding a number of appointed posts. This involvement includes recent state campaign contributions to Vince Sheheen, recently-defeated State Rep. Herb Kirsh and several York County Democrats, as well as contributions to the campaign of recently-defeated Congressman John Spratt ($1000 in 2006, $1000 in 2008), Inez Tenenbaum's failed 2004 Senate bid, Alex Sanders' failed 2002 Senate bid ... and even Al Gore.

Which doesn't really explain why Mack is considering running for this Senate seat as a ... Republican?!?

We're sure Mack won't be the only one looking to run for this seat, so stay tuned.

SCGOP scores big with absentee voting efforts


In the 2000 and 2002 elections, a major push by the South Carolina GOP to increase absentee and early voting turnout paid off big dividends. Not surprisingly, a return to focusing upon that nuts-and-bolts aspect of winning elections paid off heavily this year.


In the gubernatorial race, Haley beat out Sen. Vince Sheheen by taking 51 percent of the 142,552 absentee ballots cast in the election. The work paid off in strong GOP counties like Lexington, where Haley took a nearly two-thirds advantage. The results were a little better in the lieutenant governor contest, where Florence County councilman Ken Ard was able to claim a little more than 54 percent.

U.S. Rep. Joe Wilson pulled 57.7 percent of the total, and won each of the three most populous counties, including Richland ... Sen. Mick Mulvaney’s challenge to upset U.S. Rep. John Spratt was a little closer, considering that Spratt had experience on his side. Still, Mulvaney netted 52 percent overall and won four of the five biggest counties, including claiming almost two-thirds of the absentee vote in York.

Republicans sweep the South, top to bottom


In January, when Arkansas Governor Mike Beebe is sworn in, he'll be the only one of his kind doing so: of all the statewide officials taking the oath of office in those nine states, he'll be the only Democrat. From Texas to South Carolina, the GOP won all the others.

Of the eighteen legislative chambers in those states, only two will be led by Democrats. On election night, Republicans seized control of four and cut the Democratic majorites in the Arkansas House and Senate by over half, while gaining control of dozens of legislative seats in the others, including over twenty House seats in Texas.

Writing in Real Clear Politics, Ben Evans argues that the "white Southern Democrat — endangered since the 1960s civil rights era — is sliding nearer to extinction."

What the Next Speaker Must Do

In an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, incoming House Speaker John Boehner outlines his agenda for the next two years:

Tired of politicians who refuse to listen, Americans who previously were not involved or minimally involved in the political process are now helping to drive it. While their backgrounds are as diverse as the country itself, their message to Washington is the same: Government leaders are servants of the people; the people are not servants of their government.

The members of the 112th Congress must heed this message if there is to be any hope of repairing the shattered bonds of trust between the American people and their elected leaders. And that begins with the speaker of the House, who as leader of the institution must lead by example.

It's good reading, and if his fellow Republicans play ball with his plan, then perhaps the GOP won't end up blowing it's opportunity to lead, as it did following the 1994 elections when Bill Clinton was able to turn the GOP tide enough to win re-election.

For those who haven't seen it, here's Boehner's election night address:



Congressman Jeff Duncan to hold "Thank You" events next week


Like any well-raised country native, Jeff Duncan seems to have remember his manners well. As proof of that, he's having a "Thank You" tour across the Third Congressional District to thank people for their support next week, with evening events in Greenwood, Anderson and North Augusta.

If you can make it, contact Walker Smith at Walker@JeffDuncan.com or 864-430-2730.

Here are the event times and locations:

Polling shows strong support for Contract From America


Earlier this week, well-known GOP pollster Frank Luntz reported on the results of a survey of voters which solicited their opinions of the Contract From America, which the Blogland has endorsed. The results of this survey, which was sponsored by Freedom Works, showed strong support for the Contract, even from swing independent voters. 

The survey findings also cautioned that voters expected a Republican majority to work to produce results on those issues, and that many would consider supporting a third party if the GOP didn't keep its promises to reduce and reform the federal government.

When incoming House Speaker John Boehner promised "our new majority will be prepared to do things differently... to take a new approach that hasn't been tried before in Washington ", he'd be wise to pay attention to the findings of Luntz' report:

Building a Majority

Interesting reading in the Wall Street Journal about how the House GOP leadership built the supporting apparatus that played a key role in this week's landslide House takeover:


House Republicans put themselves in position to ride that wave, casting themselves at every turn as the alternative to Obama policies, and maneuvering to reap the benefits of the tea-party anger that soon began spreading.

Many Republicans doubted the approach would work. But by early this year it had created a sense that a House takeover was possible. That in turn triggered a torrent of contributions to the party and to independent conservative groups that bought ads on behalf of Republicans, helping create a kind of self-fulfilling prophecy.

Check it out.

The Tea Party's moment of vindication




(T)here is not a single Democratic President since FDR whose administrations went smoothly ... This doesn’t bode well for an Obama administration. Not only that, but history usually dictates that a party’s upswing will not last for long – typically two election cycles before stagnation sets in or the course reverses itself.

Two years later, this warning seems to have become prophecy, as the Obama administration and the Democratic Party faces a radically-altered political landscape. Who is largely to blame for stopping the Democratic Brave New World in its tracks?

From where we see things, the prize goes to the much-maligned, but now vindicated, Tea Party movement.

In another prediction turned prophecy, we saw that one coming as well.

So what did you miss last night?

If you didn't tune into a gazillion channels, websites and emails, you may have missed some of what went down last night. So we'll fill you in on some of what you missed:

  • South Carolina Republicans won big in major races, with a clean sweep of all statewide offices and the ouster of Rep. John Spratt reducing the Democrats major office-holdings to Jim Clyburn, who easily brushed aside the under-funded and poorly-run campaign of Jim Pratt.
  • State House Republicans picked up three seats, including one surprise, knocking out three Democratic incumbents: Tommy Pope prevailed over the senior House member Herb Kirsh in York County, Peter McCoy foreclosed on the most repulsive member of the House - Anne Peterson-Hutto - in a sobering victory in Charleston County, and CofC graduate student Kevin Ryan knocked off Georgetown Rep. Vida Miller.
  • Meanwhile, a race that was expected to be a sure bet pickup for the GOP was blown when perennial candidate Sheri Few, well-known for two prior primary defeats and conspiracy theories for those defeats, lost to a relatively-unknown last minute fill-in Democratic candidate in House District 79.

But it wasn't just South Carolina where the GOP tide rolled. While a lot of the Democratic political bodies are yet to be tallied, what took place elsewhere was staggering:

Vote Tomorrow - or Today - and then go have some fun!

The Blogland wants to give everyone who has been working their butts off to support their candidates a hand for a job well-done. Republican, Democrat or anyone else, y'all have all shown us what you're made of. Win or lose, once the votes are counted and races are decided, be proud of yourselves and the work you've done.

Many thanks also goes out to the many Blogland readers who've sent in story leads and tips that resulted in many of these stories, endorsements and op-ed pieces. It's been a pretty wild ride this year, and we have you to blame.

Watch for live election reports tomorrow night on both the Blogland website and the Blogland twitter feed at "BloglandEC".  But as many of you are tired and are sick and tired of Election 2010, the Blogland is going to make your life a little more peaceful by taking the next forty or so hours off.

I'll be in work meetings all day today and most of tomorrow, but will be in Columbia Tuesday night for election night parties. I hope to see some of you out there and meet you in person - even those of you I didn't always agree with - so if you see me out and about, be sure to stop me to say hello (or F*** you, whichever works). If you want me to drop by your event, email me at earl@earlcapps.org.

November is almost here